3 Canadian Stocks to Buy Before Oil Volatility Returns
Alex Smith
6 hours ago
Oil can turn quiet until it suddenly isnât. Thatâs why investors may want stocks with real assets, cleaner balance sheets, and catalysts already in motion before volatility returns. The best picks donât need oil to surge forever, but enough exposure to benefit when prices move, enough discipline to survive when prices fall, and enough growth to keep the story alive. So, let’s consider a few on the TSX today.
VET
Vermilion Energy (TSX:VET) looks relevant now because it gives investors exposure to oil and natural gas, with a bigger focus on gas after a busy year of portfolio moves. The company produces energy across Canada, Europe, and Australia, which gives it pricing diversity that many smaller producers lack. Over the last year, Vermilion stock bought Westbrick Energy for about $1.1 billion to strengthen its position in Albertaâs Deep Basin, then sold its U.S. assets for $120 million to simplify the business and reduce debt.
Vermilion stock generated $1.01 billion in fund flows from operations (FFO) in 2025 and $375 million in free cash flow. It also cut net debt by more than $700 million from the first quarter, ending the year at $1.34 billion. Vermilion stock recently traded around 13 times forward earnings and 1.5 times sales, which doesnât look stretched for a company with stronger production and lower debt. The risk, of course, comes from commodity prices. If natural gas weakens or Europe cools off, cash flow could tighten quickly.
KEL
Kelt Exploration (TSX:KEL) offers a more focused Canadian growth angle. The company operates in the Montney and Deep Basin, with production tilted toward natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids. That makes it a strong fit if investors expect another round of energy swings tied to LNG demand, North American supply, or geopolitical tension. Over the last year, Kelt dealt with some production shut-ins tied to third-party gas plant delays, yet still grew production and kept its balance sheet in good shape.
In the fourth quarter of 2025, production rose 24% year over year to 45,102 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d). Petroleum and natural gas sales climbed 15% to $143.8 million, while adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) rose 11% to $76.8 million. For the full year, Kelt earned $63.1 million, up from $45.4 million in 2024. It also ended 2025 with net debt of $189.7 million, just 0.7 times AFFO. The stock recently traded near 15.5 times forward earnings, so investors pay more for growth here. That creates risk if gas prices disappoint or project timing slips again.
TKO
Taseko Mines (TSX:TKO) isnât an oil stock, and thatâs part of the appeal. Oil volatility often spills into the wider commodity market, especially through inflation, diesel costs, infrastructure spending, and investor appetite for hard assets. Taseko produces copper from the Gibraltar mine in British Columbia and recently started copper cathode production at Florence Copper in Arizona. That gives it a growth story tied more to electrification, grids, and industrial demand than crude prices alone.
Taseko reported 2025 revenue of $673 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of $230 million, and a net loss of $30 million. The fourth quarter looked stronger, with revenue of $243.8 million, adjusted EBITDA of $116 million, and net income of $4 million. Florence Copper started production in February, while Gibraltar produced 30 million pounds of copper in the first quarter of 2026, up 50% from the same period last year. The stock recently traded around 15.8 times forward earnings and nearly 4.5 times sales, so expectations already look higher. Investors need copper prices and Florenceâs ramp-up to cooperate.
Bottom line
The takeaway? Oil volatility doesnât only reward the biggest oil names. It can reward disciplined commodity stocks with cleaner balance sheets, stronger production, and clear catalysts. Vermilion stock brings international energy exposure, Kelt brings Canadian gas growth, and Taseko adds copper upside with a different kind of commodity tailwind. Together, each gives investors a way to prepare before the next oil shock grabs the marketâs attention.
The post 3 Canadian Stocks to Buy Before Oil Volatility Returns appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.
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More reading
- TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Thursday, May 7
- 2 Canadian Energy Stocks Iâd Buy and Hold Right Now
- Oil Is Surging Again: 2 Canadian Stocks to Watch Closely
- 2 TSX Stocks That Could Win Big From Oil Near $100
- 1 Canadian Energy Stock That May Be Quietly Setting Up for a Strong Year
Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Vermilion Energy. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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