DeFi

Decentralized Finance news and protocols

Kalshi Posts Record $3.9B Volume Week, Extends Lead Over Polymarket as Parlays Surge

Kalshi Posts Record $3.9B Volume Week, Extends Lead Over Polymarket as Parlays Surge

Weekly notional volume bounced back sharply after last week’s post-Masters pullback, with the two leading predicti...

By Alex Smith 3 weeks ago 12 min read
Ohio Senate Special Election Moves to Toss-Up as Markets Price Flip Risk

Ohio Senate Special Election Moves to Toss-Up as Markets Price Flip Risk

The 2026 Ohio Senate special election has quietly become one of the best potential swing‑seat flips on the Democratic si...

By Alex Smith 3 weeks ago 4 min read
Seven Ways Prediction Markets Are Rewriting Institutional Risk Management

Seven Ways Prediction Markets Are Rewriting Institutional Risk Management

Prediction markets are pulling in institutions like a magnet for cleaner real-world hedging. Citadel Securities, one of...

By Alex Smith 3 weeks ago 17 min read
Becerra Leads CA Governor Scramble as Markets Surge After Swalwell Exit

Becerra Leads CA Governor Scramble as Markets Surge After Swalwell Exit

It has been more than a week since Eric Swalwell suspended his campaign for California governor, and prediction mar...

By Alex Smith 4 weeks ago 4 min read
Vance Leads GOP 2028 Odds as Markets Price Trump Risk

Vance Leads GOP 2028 Odds as Markets Price Trump Risk

The Republican side of the 2028 presidential race on prediction markets looks much more structured than the Democratic o...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 4 min read
Democratic Presidential Race Tops $1.1B in Trades with Two Years of Turbulance Ahead

Democratic Presidential Race Tops $1.1B in Trades with Two Years of Turbulance Ahead

Prediction markets are already treating the 2028 Democratic presidential race as a high‑volume, high‑volatility story wi...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 5 min read
Polymarket Fee Rollout Drives 10X Revenue Jump; USD Token and Platform Overhaul Ahead

Polymarket Fee Rollout Drives 10X Revenue Jump; USD Token and Platform Overhaul Ahead

Polymarket is rapidly increasing how much revenue it captures from its international prediction market platform, as it e...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 8 min read
Swalwell Odds Plummet from 35% to 1% as Sex Scandal Reprices CA Governor Race

Swalwell Odds Plummet from 35% to 1% as Sex Scandal Reprices CA Governor Race

The Rep. Eric Swalwell sex scandal firestorm hasn’t just rattled California politics, it has instantly rearranged the pr...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 5 min read
California Governor Race Tops $15M in Trading, Hinges on Who Survives June Primary

California Governor Race Tops $15M in Trading, Hinges on Who Survives June Primary

The 2026 California primary race for governor is wide open and already drawing serious money on prediction markets.&#160...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 5 min read
Peltola Turns Alaska into Senate Battleground as Governor Race Drives Trading

Peltola Turns Alaska into Senate Battleground as Governor Race Drives Trading

Alaska is usually a footnote on the national map during election seasons, but in 2026 prediction markets are treating it...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 4 min read
Clarity Act Odds Jump 15% as White House Backs Crypto in Yield Debate

Clarity Act Odds Jump 15% as White House Backs Crypto in Yield Debate

Odds of Clarity Act legislation passing this year jumped around 15% following a new White House report that puts a major...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 6 min read
Polymarket US Posts $256M March, Launches Politics and Is Built to Scale

Polymarket US Posts $256M March, Launches Politics and Is Built to Scale

Four months after its debut, Polymarket US has entered a full sprint to public launch. The platform is now moving fast,...

By Alex Smith 1 month ago 12 min read