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1 month agoEthereum soared to an impressive $4,946—a fresh all-time high earlier this week—only to now slide back to around $4,713, marking an almost 5% drop from its peak.
So, what’s behind this sharp retracement? Let’s break it down:
What’s Happening Behind the Charts
1. Profit-Taking & Historical Patterns
It’s a familiar story: climb high, then take gains. Go back to 2017, 2020, and 2021—when Ethereum gained big in August, it consistently rolled over in September.
2. Liquidation Cascade
As ETH neared the $4,900 mark, over $216 million in long positions were liquidated—with nearly $130 million coming from long traders. These forced sell-offs help fuel downward momentum.
3. Ascending Channel Still Holds
Technical indicators paint a nuanced picture. ETH remains in a rising channel on the daily chart, supported by a bullish Supertrend and an RSI at 60—not yet overbought.
To stay bullish, ETH must reclaim $4,800. A close below $4,349 could trigger a steeper slide.
4. Whale Activity & Institutional Moves
Despite the pullback, big players are still bullish. Over the past week, whales accumulated 350,000 ETH (~$1.67 billion), signaling confidence.
5. ETF Liquidity Dynamics
The crypto landscape has matured—spot ETH ETFs and corporate treasury holdings are now part of the picture, introducing more stability than previous cycles.
Factor | Implication |
---|---|
ATH near $4,946 | Invites both FOMO and profit-taking reversals. |
$216M in Liquidations | Sharp downward pressure from forced trade exits. |
Key Technical Levels | $4,800 to reclaim; breakdown below $4,349 could prompt correction. |
Institutional Accumulation | Indicates strong underlying support. |
ETF & On-Chain Flows | Adds resilience to ETH demand beyond past cycles. |
Final Thoughts
Ethereum’s recent drop is far from unexpected. It reflects a healthy market that’s balancing momentum with caution. If ETH holds above support around $4,600–$4,680, there’s still space to consolidate before making another run. However, a breakdown below $4,349 could open the floodgates toward $4,200 or lower.
For the long-term, institutional interest and ETF adoption make this cycle feel more solid—and potentially more sustainable—than previous ones.
Stay tuned for updates—this is just the beginning of ETH’s next chapter.
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